论文摘要
本论文主要探讨冷战后东盟国家(以下简称“东盟”)对美国的战略及这些战略对中国的影响和我国的对策。笔者认为,冷战后东盟逐渐采取的对美战略和政策包括:(1) 军事安全上“拉住”美国,以平衡日本、中国和印度崛起可能对东盟构成的威胁:(2) 面临民主化浪潮的冲击以及以美国为首的西方国家在政治上的施压和干涉,东盟在政治上进行抵制和抗争;(3) 经济上,东盟仍然采取争取美国资金、技术和市场的战略,但也尽量减少对美国的依赖性;(4) 军事、政治与经济战略的综合运用,即利用军事安全合作缓解美国人权外交的压力和争取经济利益,利用经济利益吸引美国的安全承诺和缓解美国人权外交的压力。总体而言,冷战后东盟对美国战略体现出依赖与抗争的特点。 东盟对美战略不可避免地会对中国带来一定的影响,其中既有正面的影响,也有负面的影响。对于中国的抉择,本论文分别针对东盟和美国两方面提出了一些政策建议。笔者还就东盟—美国关系、东盟对美战略涉及的相关理论的解释力进行了分析,并提出了自己的看法,认为平衡威胁和相互依赖是影响东盟—美国关系最重要的两个变量。
论文目录
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