东亚自由贸易区建立的路径研究

东亚自由贸易区建立的路径研究

论文摘要

自20世纪80年代以来,经济全球化的发展越来越迅速,各国之间在经济上的相互依存度日益加深。与此同时,由于各种贸易保护势力妨碍了国际贸易的发展,许多国家不得不试图通过建立区域贸易组织来规避各种各样的贸易壁垒,促进本国以至于本区域内贸易的发展。在这种潮流下,欧洲经济一体化、北美自由贸易区等区域经济合作纷纷付诸实施,极大地激发了亚洲国家联合自强的意识。与此同时,近年来,东亚地区探讨建立自由贸易区(FTA)也逐步进入加速发展时期,中国、日本、韩国、东盟等国家和国际组织之间,探讨建立自由贸易区的活动密集交织在一起。对各种构想中的自由贸易区的经济影响研究也取得了基本一致的共识,即东亚地区FTA涵盖的范围越大对东亚各国经济发展越有利。同时,当今国际社会发展的现实也表明,亚洲区域经济一体化滞后的状况正在改变,其经济一体化机制率先在亚洲次区域得以推动。随着亚洲区域和次区域的经济合作和自由贸易安排逐步取得进展,众多亚洲国家也开始加快向实现经济一体化的目标迈进。本文将分析建立东亚自由贸易区的可能性、必要性以及实施的可行性,并提出建立东亚自由贸易区的路径,即采用“10+3”模式,以东盟为中间人建立“东盟-中国”,“东盟-日本”,和“东盟—韩国”自由贸易区,再以此为基础,建立“10+3”模式,并最终建立整个东亚自由贸易区。同时展现东亚自由贸易区建立的未来以及对中国经济、政治以及安全方面的影响,以此表明,东亚自由贸易区的建立旨在加强东亚区域在世界经济中的竞争力,促进并提高整个东亚地区的稳定性、加强东亚区域的经济合作与发展,采用共同贸易政策减少区域内贸易壁垒,实现区域内无壁垒的贸易自由化,提升东亚在世界经济中的地位,与欧盟、北美自由贸易区一起成为最有影响力的经济体,形成“三足鼎立”局面。

论文目录

  • ABSTRACT
  • 内容摘要
  • CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION
  • CHAPTER II POSSIBILITY AND NECESSITY OF THE SETTING-UP OF EAFTA
  • 2.1 Motivation of the setting-up of EAFTA
  • 2.1.1 Pressure of the rapid development of the world economy
  • 2.1.2 A severe blow on the Asian financial crisis
  • 2.2 The history and status quo of the East Asian economic cooperation
  • 2.3 Analysis of the main factors of the setting-up of EAFTA
  • 2.3.1 Economic factors, the important factors conducive to the setting-up of EAFTA
  • 2.3.2 Non-economic factors, the key issues to bind the establishment of EAFTA
  • 2.4 Targets and feasibility of the establishment of EAFTA
  • 2.4.1 Targets of the establishment of EAFTA
  • 2.4.2 Analysis of the feasibility to establish EAFTA
  • 2.5 EAFTA, the inevitable result of regional economic integration
  • 2.5.1 Development trend of Free Trade Area
  • 2.5.2 Positive significance of participation in the Free Trade Area
  • 2.5.3 EAFTA, an inevitable result of regional economic integration
  • CHAPTER III PROBLEMS AND BARRIERS OF THE ESTABLISHMENT OF EAFTA
  • 3.1 Problems of the establishment of EAFTA
  • 3.2 Analysis of the barriers existed in the establishment of EAFTA
  • 3.2.1 Non-balanced development level of East Asia
  • 3.2.2 Mutual distrust between the countries
  • 3.2.3 Overall economic strength is not strong
  • 3.3 Countermeasures to solve these problems and barriers
  • 3.3.1 Good handling of various forms of regional cooperation relations
  • 3.3.2 To promote East Asian development, achieving mutual benefits
  • 3.3.3 To accelerate the adjustment of industrial structure, and enhance their economic complementarities and competitiveness
  • 3.3.4 Enhanced communication and mutual trust, strengthen all-round cooperation in various fields
  • CHAPTER IV RELATIONS NEEDED TO BE ADDRESSED OF THE FOUNDATION OF EAFTA
  • 4.1 China-ASEAN free trade zone
  • 4.2 Japan and ASEAN
  • 4.3 ASEAN and South Korea
  • 4.4 Trade relations and cooperation among China, Japan, and South Korea
  • CHAPTER V MODEL OF THE ESTABLISHMENT OF EAFTA
  • 5.1 EU, NAFTA Mode Comparison
  • 5.1.1 Analysis of the economic conditions EU model-based
  • 5.1.2 Assessment of the effectiveness of the vertical division of labor of North American model
  • 5.2 Enlightenment to the establishment of EAFTA
  • 5.2.1 Regional economic cooperation, a gradual process
  • 5.2.2 Sub-regional economic cooperation, an effective way for cooperation
  • 5.2.3 A directly link between the differences in the level of economic development and the effectiveness of regional economic integration and cooperation
  • 5.3 The best model of the establishment of EAFTA
  • 5.3.1 One "10+3"
  • 5.3.2 Three "10+1"
  • 5.3.3 The best model of the establishment of EAFTA- Three "10+1 "cooperating together
  • 5.3.4 Contents and forms of concrete cooperation in EAFTA
  • CHAPTER VI DEVELOPMENT, IMPACT AND VISION OF EAFTA
  • 6.1 Development of EAFTA
  • 6.2 The far-reaching effects of the establishment of EAFTA
  • 6.2.1 Economic effects of the establishment of EAFTA
  • 6.2.2 Political effects of the establishment of EAFTA
  • 6.3 The vision for the development of EAFTA
  • 6.3.1 The East Asian countries' worries after the establishment of EAFTA
  • 6.3.2 Future of the East Asian economic integration
  • CHAPTER VII INFLUENCE OF THE ESTABLISHMENT OF EAFTA TO CHINA
  • REFERENCES
  • ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
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