东亚共同体发展路径研究

论文摘要

全球化是一种人类社会发展的现象过程,一般泛指经济全球化。90年代以来,马约的正式生效、北美自由贸易区的建立和欧盟成员的增加以及欧元的启动,标志着世界经济一体化的进一步发展。而作为世界经济新的增长点,东亚的地区一体化却进展缓慢,这对于东亚地区的经济发展十分不利,并通过1997年的金融危机得到证实。东亚地区地域广大,资源丰富,人口众多,不仅具备经济发展所需要的各种资源,而且本身又是一个相当广大的市场,因此,东亚完全具备相对独立发展的条件,内部开展经济合作的潜力巨大。因此,研究如何采取有效的途径,建立一个相互依赖、相互依存的东亚区域经济一体化组织具有重要的现实意义。继2002年提出“东亚共同体”这一概念后,东亚各国已经确定了以建立“东亚共同体”为东亚合作的长远目标。本文的研究对象主要为东亚国家。在过去很长一段时间里,由于区域内共同价值的缺乏,东亚各国间的经济合作一直处于初级阶段。然而,九七金融危机的发生提高了东亚各国对加强经济一体化合作必要性的认识,因而东亚各国重新审视21世纪东亚经济合作发展的前景,并不失时机地正式开启了东亚区域经济一体化合作的大门。文章的第一部分整体介绍了全球经济一体化的环境与趋势,并简要阐述了关于政治经济学与东亚新地区主义的理论。文章的第二部分理论性地介绍了区域经济一体化。在阐述了相关概念、理论的同时,介绍了当前存在的主要区域经济一体化组织,如欧盟、北美自由贸易区、亚太经合组织等。文章的第三部分系统地介绍了东亚区域经济合作。这一部分首先分析了东亚区域经济合作的动因,接着回顾了东亚区域经济合作的历史与现状,并提炼出其特征,之后具体分析了东亚区域经济合作的优势与存在的障碍,为进一步的东亚共同体的发展路径研究奠定了基础。文章的第四部分对今后东亚共同体的发展进行展望,并明确提出了东亚共同体的发展路径。通过将东盟扩大模式、南北联合模式、“10+1”模式以及整体规划模式等四种路径进行逐一的阐述与评价,最后提出“10+1”模式具有可行性,而整体规划模式具有从长期而言的必要性。文章的第五部分提出中国加入东亚共同体的对策建议,除了要改善与加强同日本、韩国、东盟以及美国等国家或组织的合作关系之外,也要通过形象宣传、友好合作等实际行动来消除“中国威胁论”及其带来的不利影响,同时还要调整国内产业结构以满足我国经济长足发展的需求。文章最后得出结论,东亚共同体的形成与发展需要一个长期的过程,在当前东亚各国纷纷认识到区域经济一体化优势的前提下,我国应认清形势,更加重视区域经济合作,同时抓住机遇,在未来东亚区域经济一体化组织的建设中掌握主动权,争取主导权。

论文目录

• ABSTRACT
• 摘要
• Chapter Ⅰ Introduction
• 1.1 Background
• 1.2 Literature Review
• 1.2.1 Political Economics
• 1.2.2. New Regionalism in East Asia
• 1.3 Organization of the Thesis
• Chapter Ⅱ Basic Information about Regional Economic Integration
• 2.1 Definition of Regional Economic Cooperation
• 2.2 Theories of Regional Economic Integration
• 2.2.1 Custom Union Theory
• 2.2.2 Common Market Theory
• 2.2.3 Consultative International Specialization Theory
• 2.2.4 Overall Development Strategy Theory
• 2.3 Main Regional Economic Integration Organizations
• 2.3.1 General Situation
• 2.3.2 European Union
• 2.3.3 North American Free Trade Area （NAFTA）
• 2.3.4 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
• 2.3.5 The Association of Southeast Asian Nations
• Chapter Ⅲ General Information of East Asian economic Cooperation
• 3.1 General information
• 3.2 Motivations for East Asian Regional Economic Cooperation
• 3.2.1 A Response to the Experience and Lessons of the 1997 Financial Crisis
• 3.2.2 Globalization Presses East Asian Countries on Multi-cooperation
• 3.2.3 The "flying geese" Model and "return to Asia" of Japan
• 3.2.4 Institutional Imperatives for East Asian Market
• 3.2.5 China's WTO Accession
• 3.2.6 Regional Organizations in a Small Scale Appeared One After Another
• 3.3 Review of East Asian Regional Economic Cooperation
• 3.3.1 Association of Southeast Asian Nations--SEAN
• 3.3.2 10+1 Mode
• 3.3.3 10+3 Mode
• 3.3.4 Cooperation among China, Japan and South Korea
• 3.4 Characteristics of East Asian Regional Economic Cooperation
• 3.5 Strengths for East Asian Regional Economic Cooperation
• 3.5.1 The Solid Foundation of Building East Asian Regional Economic Cooperation Organization
• 3.5.2 The ASEAN Economic Development and Cooperation Framework of "10+1" and "10+3" Envisage a Good Beginning and Future
• 3.5.3 The Foundation of EU, NAFTA and APEC Offers Good Examples for Regional Cooperation Organization
• 3.5.4 Japan Pays More Attention to Cooperation with East Asian Countries in Recent years, for Its "return to Asia" Policy and Recession of Domestic Economics
• 3.5.5 Chinese Economy Has Grown Stronger and Kept a Close Relationship with Other East Asian Countries and Districts
• 3.6 Challenges for East Asian Regional Economic Cooperation
• 3.6.1 Strategies of the USA, Japan and Europe towards East Asia
• 3.6.2 East Asian Countries'Reliance on the USA and Europe
• 3.6.3 Conjuncture of Small East Asian Countries and the Status of China
• 3.6.4 The Territory Problems Left Over by History
• Chapter Ⅳ Future of East Asian Community
• 4.1 A Breakthrough in Recognizing
• 4.2 Analysis of Routes
• 4.3 Towards an ASEAN Economic Community
• 4.4 Bridging Development Gaps
• 4.4.1 The Evolving Concept of Development and "Development Gaps"
• 4.4.2 The Notion of Development Gaps
• 4.4.3 Advancing the Agenda of Narrowing Development Gaps
• Chapter Ⅴ Proposals and Suggestions for China to Promote East Asian Community
• 5.1 The Importance to China
• 5.2 Proposals and Suggestions
• 5.2.1 Readjustment of Sino-Japanese relations
• 5.2.2 Enhancement of Sino-Korean relations
• 5.2.3 Enhancement on Sino-ASEAN relations
• 5.2.4 Enhancement on Sino-U.S. relations
• 5.2.5 To solve problems left over by history in East Asia
• 5.2.6 Elimination of the China Threat Theory influence
• 5.2.7 Upgrading industries
• Chapter Ⅵ Conclusions
• REFERENCES
• ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS