本文主要研究内容
作者李巍（2019）在《目标导向层次分析方法及其应用研究》一文中研究指出：美国运筹学家Saaty为解决具有层次结构的复杂评价与决策问题所提出的层次分析法(AHP),由于相对简便又高度实用迄今已在许多领域获得了国内外学者非常广泛的应用。但由于在决策方案评价时,备选方案集中增加或减少一个方案后AHP会对其它方案给出不同的优劣排序结果即存在逆序等问题,AHP也持续不断地受到了许多学者针对其正确性的学术质疑。Saaty在AHP原有分布式分析模式(Distributive Mode)的基础上又提出了绝对分析模式(Absolute Mode)、理想分析模式(Ideal Mode)和超矩阵分析模式(Supermatrix Mode),却并没有从方法核心上解决因比率比较基准缺失、权重内涵模糊不清或方案评价不保序等问题。AHP在单层排序权重上的判断模式,即采用的相对上层一个系统元素来以比率(先以语言描述后对语言描述进行比率赋值)比较下层元素之间相对重要性的判断模式,许多学者都认为由于缺少比率比较的基准“0”点对于富有经验的决策者也难以实现,即使决策者给出了相关判断由此得出的单层排序权重在内涵上也是模糊不清的。针对上述AHP存在的问题,论文主要从目标参照方案选择的影响机理、目标导向多参考点属性价值模型及方法和目标导向层次分析方法构建等多方面开展了理论方法研究,其中:在目标参照方案选择的影响机理研究中,论文基于前景理论的参考点概念进一步创新发展,在多属性评价过程中首次提出了参照集和目标参照方案的概念,对目标参照集选择的影响因素进行了系统的分析,而后给出了影响目标参照方案选择的相互作用机理及概念模型用以形成目标参照方案集,最后对环境因素、个体因素和社会化因素是否影响目标参照方案选择的机理进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,在环境因素中属于工作安排下的薪酬和安全对选择自身、选择他人和选择系统的目标参照方案都有正向的影响作用,个体因素对目标参照方案选择的影响不显著,社会化因素中自尊程度和抱负水平对选择自身和选择他人的目标参照方案有正向的影响作用而对选择系统的影响不显著。在目标导向多参考点属性价值模型及方法研究中,论文首先通过引入竞争对局及其偏好得分概念对目标导向价值理论所采用的偏好强度描述框架予以发展,提出了基于目标导向和对局效用比较的新规范性价值函数,然后在承认范围—频率(Range-Frequency—RF)模型所解释出的行为规律基础上,给出了一个能够兼顾规范性决策框架与描述性决策框架的规约性目标导向多参考点属性价值模型及评价方法。模拟验证和数值对比分析表明目标导向多参考点属性价值模型及与之对应的目标导向多参考点属性价值评价方法都具有广泛的应用适用性和较强的科学合理性。在目标导向层次分析方法构建中,首先基于摆幅置权(Swing Weighting—SW)判断模式和多属性决策属性价值公度方法,给出了能为层次结构抽象属性上的SW判断提供支持的规约性多属性决策属性价值公度方法,并给出了支持构建目标导向层次分析方法的定义与定理,然后结合多属性价值理论提出了能够克服现有层次分析法内在缺陷的目标导向层次分析方法即ToAHP。数值对比分析表明在输入信息可比的条件下,ToAHP明显优于AHP的四种分析方法之中最具可信性的SUP-AHP方法。在目标导向层次分析方法的案例应用与对比分析中,将传统模式的AHP与ToAHP用于武警某部特战队员的选拔,通过对士兵的基础技能包括极限体能、基本技能和理论常识三方面十一个具体属性的层次结构模型进行评价,使用外在效标验证了ToAHP的评价结果比AHP的评价结果更具科学合理性。论文的主要创新体现在下述三方面:其一,通过引入竞争对局及其偏好得分概念提出了基于目标导向效用理论和对局效用比较的新规范性价值函数,在此基础上通过结合RF理论模型,给出了能够兼顾规范性与描述性两个决策框架的规约性目标导向多参考点属性价值模型及评价方法,是对多属性决策理论的理论方法创新。其二,为发展AHP,基于SW判断模式和多属性决策属性价值公度方法,提出了能为层次结构抽象属性上的SW判断提供支持的规约性多属性决策属性价值公度方法,然后由此并结合多属性价值理论给出了能够克服现有层次分析法内在缺陷的目标导向层次分析方法(ToAHP),是克服传统AHP的比率比较基准缺失、权重内涵模糊不清和方案评价不保序问题明显的方法创新。其三,对现有前景理论的参考点概念进一步创新发展,在多属性评价过程中,论文首次提出了参照集和目标参照方案的概念,分析了目标参照集选择的影响因素,之后给出了影响目标参照方案选择的概念模型并且进行了实证研究,参照集和目标参照方案的提出及研究是对现有前景理论参考点的明显的理论创新。
Abstract
mei guo yun chou xue jia Saatywei jie jue ju you ceng ci jie gou de fu za ping jia yu jue ce wen ti suo di chu de ceng ci fen xi fa (AHP),you yu xiang dui jian bian you gao du shi yong qi jin yi zai hu duo ling yu huo de le guo nei wai xue zhe fei chang an fan de ying yong 。dan you yu zai jue ce fang an ping jia shi ,bei shua fang an ji zhong zeng jia huo jian shao yi ge fang an hou AHPhui dui ji ta fang an gei chu bu tong de you lie pai xu jie guo ji cun zai ni xu deng wen ti ,AHPye chi xu bu duan de shou dao le hu duo xue zhe zhen dui ji zheng que xing de xue shu zhi yi 。Saatyzai AHPyuan you fen bu shi fen xi mo shi (Distributive Mode)de ji chu shang you di chu le jue dui fen xi mo shi (Absolute Mode)、li xiang fen xi mo shi (Ideal Mode)he chao ju zhen fen xi mo shi (Supermatrix Mode),que bing mei you cong fang fa he xin shang jie jue yin bi lv bi jiao ji zhun que shi 、quan chong nei han mo hu bu qing huo fang an ping jia bu bao xu deng wen ti 。AHPzai chan ceng pai xu quan chong shang de pan duan mo shi ,ji cai yong de xiang dui shang ceng yi ge ji tong yuan su lai yi bi lv (xian yi yu yan miao shu hou dui yu yan miao shu jin hang bi lv fu zhi )bi jiao xia ceng yuan su zhi jian xiang dui chong yao xing de pan duan mo shi ,hu duo xue zhe dou ren wei you yu que shao bi lv bi jiao de ji zhun “0”dian dui yu fu you jing yan de jue ce zhe ye nan yi shi xian ,ji shi jue ce zhe gei chu le xiang guan pan duan you ci de chu de chan ceng pai xu quan chong zai nei han shang ye shi mo hu bu qing de 。zhen dui shang shu AHPcun zai de wen ti ,lun wen zhu yao cong mu biao can zhao fang an shua ze de ying xiang ji li 、mu biao dao xiang duo can kao dian shu xing jia zhi mo xing ji fang fa he mu biao dao xiang ceng ci fen xi fang fa gou jian deng duo fang mian kai zhan le li lun fang fa yan jiu ,ji zhong :zai mu biao can zhao fang an shua ze de ying xiang ji li yan jiu zhong ,lun wen ji yu qian jing li lun de can kao dian gai nian jin yi bu chuang xin fa zhan ,zai duo shu xing ping jia guo cheng zhong shou ci di chu le can zhao ji he mu biao can zhao fang an de gai nian ,dui mu biao can zhao ji shua ze de ying xiang yin su jin hang le ji tong de fen xi ,er hou gei chu le ying xiang mu biao can zhao fang an shua ze de xiang hu zuo yong ji li ji gai nian mo xing yong yi xing cheng mu biao can zhao fang an ji ,zui hou dui huan jing yin su 、ge ti yin su he she hui hua yin su shi fou ying xiang mu biao can zhao fang an shua ze de ji li jin hang le shi zheng yan jiu 。yan jiu jie guo biao ming ,zai huan jing yin su zhong shu yu gong zuo an pai xia de xin chou he an quan dui shua ze zi shen 、shua ze ta ren he shua ze ji tong de mu biao can zhao fang an dou you zheng xiang de ying xiang zuo yong ,ge ti yin su dui mu biao can zhao fang an shua ze de ying xiang bu xian zhe ,she hui hua yin su zhong zi zun cheng du he bao fu shui ping dui shua ze zi shen he shua ze ta ren de mu biao can zhao fang an you zheng xiang de ying xiang zuo yong er dui shua ze ji tong de ying xiang bu xian zhe 。zai mu biao dao xiang duo can kao dian shu xing jia zhi mo xing ji fang fa yan jiu zhong ,lun wen shou xian tong guo yin ru jing zheng dui ju ji ji pian hao de fen gai nian dui mu biao dao xiang jia zhi li lun suo cai yong de pian hao jiang du miao shu kuang jia yu yi fa zhan ,di chu le ji yu mu biao dao xiang he dui ju xiao yong bi jiao de xin gui fan xing jia zhi han shu ,ran hou zai cheng ren fan wei —pin lv (Range-Frequency—RF)mo xing suo jie shi chu de hang wei gui lv ji chu shang ,gei chu le yi ge neng gou jian gu gui fan xing jue ce kuang jia yu miao shu xing jue ce kuang jia de gui yao xing mu biao dao xiang duo can kao dian shu xing jia zhi mo xing ji ping jia fang fa 。mo ni yan zheng he shu zhi dui bi fen xi biao ming mu biao dao xiang duo can kao dian shu xing jia zhi mo xing ji yu zhi dui ying de mu biao dao xiang duo can kao dian shu xing jia zhi ping jia fang fa dou ju you an fan de ying yong kuo yong xing he jiao jiang de ke xue ge li xing 。zai mu biao dao xiang ceng ci fen xi fang fa gou jian zhong ,shou xian ji yu bai fu zhi quan (Swing Weighting—SW)pan duan mo shi he duo shu xing jue ce shu xing jia zhi gong du fang fa ,gei chu le neng wei ceng ci jie gou chou xiang shu xing shang de SWpan duan di gong zhi chi de gui yao xing duo shu xing jue ce shu xing jia zhi gong du fang fa ,bing gei chu le zhi chi gou jian mu biao dao xiang ceng ci fen xi fang fa de ding yi yu ding li ,ran hou jie ge duo shu xing jia zhi li lun di chu le neng gou ke fu xian you ceng ci fen xi fa nei zai que xian de mu biao dao xiang ceng ci fen xi fang fa ji ToAHP。shu zhi dui bi fen xi biao ming zai shu ru xin xi ke bi de tiao jian xia ,ToAHPming xian you yu AHPde si chong fen xi fang fa zhi zhong zui ju ke xin xing de SUP-AHPfang fa 。zai mu biao dao xiang ceng ci fen xi fang fa de an li ying yong yu dui bi fen xi zhong ,jiang chuan tong mo shi de AHPyu ToAHPyong yu wu jing mou bu te zhan dui yuan de shua ba ,tong guo dui shi bing de ji chu ji neng bao gua ji xian ti neng 、ji ben ji neng he li lun chang shi san fang mian shi yi ge ju ti shu xing de ceng ci jie gou mo xing jin hang ping jia ,shi yong wai zai xiao biao yan zheng le ToAHPde ping jia jie guo bi AHPde ping jia jie guo geng ju ke xue ge li xing 。lun wen de zhu yao chuang xin ti xian zai xia shu san fang mian :ji yi ,tong guo yin ru jing zheng dui ju ji ji pian hao de fen gai nian di chu le ji yu mu biao dao xiang xiao yong li lun he dui ju xiao yong bi jiao de xin gui fan xing jia zhi han shu ,zai ci ji chu shang tong guo jie ge RFli lun mo xing ,gei chu le neng gou jian gu gui fan xing yu miao shu xing liang ge jue ce kuang jia de gui yao xing mu biao dao xiang duo can kao dian shu xing jia zhi mo xing ji ping jia fang fa ,shi dui duo shu xing jue ce li lun de li lun fang fa chuang xin 。ji er ,wei fa zhan AHP,ji yu SWpan duan mo shi he duo shu xing jue ce shu xing jia zhi gong du fang fa ,di chu le neng wei ceng ci jie gou chou xiang shu xing shang de SWpan duan di gong zhi chi de gui yao xing duo shu xing jue ce shu xing jia zhi gong du fang fa ,ran hou you ci bing jie ge duo shu xing jia zhi li lun gei chu le neng gou ke fu xian you ceng ci fen xi fa nei zai que xian de mu biao dao xiang ceng ci fen xi fang fa (ToAHP),shi ke fu chuan tong AHPde bi lv bi jiao ji zhun que shi 、quan chong nei han mo hu bu qing he fang an ping jia bu bao xu wen ti ming xian de fang fa chuang xin 。ji san ,dui xian you qian jing li lun de can kao dian gai nian jin yi bu chuang xin fa zhan ,zai duo shu xing ping jia guo cheng zhong ,lun wen shou ci di chu le can zhao ji he mu biao can zhao fang an de gai nian ,fen xi le mu biao can zhao ji shua ze de ying xiang yin su ,zhi hou gei chu le ying xiang mu biao can zhao fang an shua ze de gai nian mo xing bing ju jin hang le shi zheng yan jiu ,can zhao ji he mu biao can zhao fang an de di chu ji yan jiu shi dui xian you qian jing li lun can kao dian de ming xian de li lun chuang xin 。
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论文作者分别是来自吉林大学的李巍，发表于刊物吉林大学2019-06-25论文，是一篇关于多属性决策论文,层次分析法论文,目标导向层次分析方法论文,目标参照方案论文,属性价值模型论文,吉林大学2019-06-25论文的文章。本文可供学术参考使用，各位学者可以免费参考阅读下载，文章观点不代表本站观点，资料来自吉林大学2019-06-25论文网站，若本站收录的文献无意侵犯了您的著作版权，请联系我们删除。
标签：多属性决策论文; 层次分析法论文; 目标导向层次分析方法论文; 目标参照方案论文; 属性价值模型论文; 吉林大学2019-06-25论文;